SEVERE RISK • 2026 ANALYSIS

California Firefighters Pension: Solvency Alert

This report is specifically prepared for Firefighters in California who depend on the CalPERS (Public Safety Division) for retirement security.

CURRENT DEFICIT
$112 Billion
FUNDING RATIO
68.2%
LOCAL INFLATION
5.2%
DEPLETION DATE
2037
410,000 MembersAvg. Benefit: $3,400/month
Key Findings for California Firefighters
  • CalPERS (Public Safety Division) is only 68.2% funded with a $112 Billion deficit.
  • For every $1.00 owed to you, the fund holds only $0.68.
  • Projected fund depletion: 2037 without major reforms.
  • California local inflation (5.2%) erodes fixed pension benefits.

If you are one of the 410,000 firefighters who depend on the CalPERS (Public Safety Division), your retirement security is mathematically at risk. The fund operates with a funding ratio of only 68.2%—well below the 80% threshold considered healthy.

What This Means for Your Retirement

A funding ratio of 68.2% means that for every $1.00 the fund owes you in retirement, it currently holds only $0.68 in assets. The remaining gap must come from:

  • Future investment returns (increasingly unlikely at 7%+ return assumptions)
  • Increased taxpayer contributions (politically difficult in California)
  • Benefit cuts to retirees (the most mathematically likely outcome)

The California Inflation Factor

Even if your nominal pension remains intact, California's local inflation rate of 5.2% is eroding purchasing power faster than standard COLA adjustments. A fixed $3,400/month payment today buys significantly less by 2037.

⚠️ SEVERE Risk WarningBased on current trajectories, the CalPERS (Public Safety Division) faces potential asset depletion by 2037. This timeline may accelerate if investment returns underperform or state contributions are reduced.

Wealth Protection Strategy for California Firefighters

Smart firefighters in California are not waiting for political solutions. They are:

  1. Maximizing 457(b) or 403(b) contributions to build a personal safety net outside the pension system
  2. Opening a Self-Directed IRA with physical precious metals (per IRS Code 408(m)(3)) for counterparty-free diversification
  3. Requesting pension buy-out analysis if offered by CalPERS (Public Safety Division)
  4. Consulting a fee-only fiduciary advisor (not a commission-based salesperson)

Get the California Wealth Protection Kit

Designed for firefighters over age 55. Includes pension buy-out calculator, Gold IRA rollover guide, and California-specific tax optimization strategies.

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Related Pension Reports

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Pennsylvania Teachers

56.8% funded • $44 Billion deficit

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Michigan Auto Workers

64.2% funded • $31 Billion deficit

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Arizona First Responders

51.4% funded • $8 Billion deficit

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