SEVERE RISK • 2026 ANALYSIS

Arizona First Responders Pension: Solvency Alert

This report is specifically prepared for First Responders in Arizona who depend on the Public Safety Personnel Retirement System (PSPRS) for retirement security.

CURRENT DEFICIT
$8 Billion
FUNDING RATIO
51.4%
LOCAL INFLATION
4.5%
DEPLETION DATE
2035
55,000 MembersAvg. Benefit: $3,800/month
Key Findings for Arizona First Responders
  • Public Safety Personnel Retirement System (PSPRS) is only 51.4% funded with a $8 Billion deficit.
  • For every $1.00 owed to you, the fund holds only $0.51.
  • Projected fund depletion: 2035 without major reforms.
  • Arizona local inflation (4.5%) erodes fixed pension benefits.

If you are one of the 55,000 first responders who depend on the Public Safety Personnel Retirement System (PSPRS), your retirement security is mathematically at risk. The fund operates with a funding ratio of only 51.4%—well below the 80% threshold considered healthy.

What This Means for Your Retirement

A funding ratio of 51.4% means that for every $1.00 the fund owes you in retirement, it currently holds only $0.51 in assets. The remaining gap must come from:

  • Future investment returns (increasingly unlikely at 7%+ return assumptions)
  • Increased taxpayer contributions (politically difficult in Arizona)
  • Benefit cuts to retirees (the most mathematically likely outcome)

The Arizona Inflation Factor

Even if your nominal pension remains intact, Arizona's local inflation rate of 4.5% is eroding purchasing power faster than standard COLA adjustments. A fixed $3,800/month payment today buys significantly less by 2035.

⚠️ SEVERE Risk WarningBased on current trajectories, the Public Safety Personnel Retirement System (PSPRS) faces potential asset depletion by 2035. This timeline may accelerate if investment returns underperform or state contributions are reduced.

Wealth Protection Strategy for Arizona First Responders

Smart first responders in Arizona are not waiting for political solutions. They are:

  1. Maximizing 457(b) or 403(b) contributions to build a personal safety net outside the pension system
  2. Opening a Self-Directed IRA with physical precious metals (per IRS Code 408(m)(3)) for counterparty-free diversification
  3. Requesting pension buy-out analysis if offered by Public Safety Personnel Retirement System (PSPRS)
  4. Consulting a fee-only fiduciary advisor (not a commission-based salesperson)

Get the Arizona Wealth Protection Kit

Designed for first responders over age 55. Includes pension buy-out calculator, Gold IRA rollover guide, and Arizona-specific tax optimization strategies.

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Related Pension Reports

SEVERE

California Firefighters

68.2% funded • $112 Billion deficit

SEVERE

Pennsylvania Teachers

56.8% funded • $44 Billion deficit

SEVERE

Michigan Auto Workers

64.2% funded • $31 Billion deficit

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