CRITICAL RISK • 2026 ANALYSIS

Texas Teachers Pension: Solvency Alert

This report is specifically prepared for Teachers in Texas who depend on the Teacher Retirement System of Texas (TRS) for retirement security.

CURRENT DEFICIT
$48 Billion
FUNDING RATIO
75.8%
LOCAL INFLATION
4.1%
DEPLETION DATE
2043
1.9 Million MembersAvg. Benefit: $2,100/month
Key Findings for Texas Teachers
  • Teacher Retirement System of Texas (TRS) is only 75.8% funded with a $48 Billion deficit.
  • For every $1.00 owed to you, the fund holds only $0.76.
  • Projected fund depletion: 2043 without major reforms.
  • Texas local inflation (4.1%) erodes fixed pension benefits.

If you are one of the 1.9 Million teachers who depend on the Teacher Retirement System of Texas (TRS), your retirement security is mathematically at risk. The fund operates with a funding ratio of only 75.8%—well below the 80% threshold considered healthy.

What This Means for Your Retirement

A funding ratio of 75.8% means that for every $1.00 the fund owes you in retirement, it currently holds only $0.76 in assets. The remaining gap must come from:

  • Future investment returns (increasingly unlikely at 7%+ return assumptions)
  • Increased taxpayer contributions (politically difficult in Texas)
  • Benefit cuts to retirees (the most mathematically likely outcome)

The Texas Inflation Factor

Even if your nominal pension remains intact, Texas's local inflation rate of 4.1% is eroding purchasing power faster than standard COLA adjustments. A fixed $2,100/month payment today buys significantly less by 2043.

⚠️ CRITICAL Risk WarningBased on current trajectories, the Teacher Retirement System of Texas (TRS) faces potential asset depletion by 2043. This timeline may accelerate if investment returns underperform or state contributions are reduced.

Wealth Protection Strategy for Texas Teachers

Smart teachers in Texas are not waiting for political solutions. They are:

  1. Maximizing 457(b) or 403(b) contributions to build a personal safety net outside the pension system
  2. Opening a Self-Directed IRA with physical precious metals (per IRS Code 408(m)(3)) for counterparty-free diversification
  3. Requesting pension buy-out analysis if offered by Teacher Retirement System of Texas (TRS)
  4. Consulting a fee-only fiduciary advisor (not a commission-based salesperson)

Get the Texas Wealth Protection Kit

Designed for teachers over age 55. Includes pension buy-out calculator, Gold IRA rollover guide, and Texas-specific tax optimization strategies.

Download Free Kit

No credit card required • Instant PDF delivery

Related Pension Reports

MODERATE

New York Teachers

87.4% funded • $28 Billion deficit

SEVERE

Pennsylvania Teachers

56.8% funded • $44 Billion deficit

← View All State Reports